Showing posts with label Technical Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Technical Analysis. Show all posts

Thursday, 8 May 2008

Sigma Forex Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is the study of market action, primarily through the use the movement of charts for the purpose of forecasting future price trends movement.
Technicians use technical indicators, chart patterns & technical strategies to forecast the next movement of the chart & compare it with the previous the run the trade in that base of comparison.

Types Of Charts

What are charts?

A chart or graph is a type of information graphic or graphic organizer that represents tabular numeric data and/or functions that it is a graph of the price movements of a given security over a given time period, sometimes along with volume data.
Charts are often used to make it easier to understand large quantities of data and the relationship between different parts of the data.
Certain types of charts are more useful for presenting a given data set than others.
The charts are one of the main interests at Sigma.
Charts are a statistically noticeably technical analysis tool for a trader that wants to carry out successful trading.
Currency charts bring clearly a single period of time and that period could range from one minute to one month to several years.
Charts are the main tool that technical analysts use in order to plot data and predict prices.


According to the above chart,
Y axis represents prices
X axis represent period which can be customized within that range: M1, M5, M15, M30, H1, H4, D1, W1 and MN where M is minuets, H is hours, D is days, W is week and MN is months.
The fluctuations in the chart based on the demand & supply in the market & for that the technical analysis made to predict the next events by using different indicators.
Most of traders use daily charts & intraday date to forecast short-term price movements.
Most of investors use weekly & monthly charts to forecast long-term price movements.
Others might use combination between short-term & long-term charts.

What are support, resistance & trend?

Support: is the price level at which demand is strong enough to prevent the price from declining further.
Resistance: is the price level at which selling is strong enough to prevent the price from rising further.
- There is no support without resistance & there is no fixed support or fixed resistance in which each support can be a resistance next period by breaking prices below a support level, the broken support level can turn into resistance & Visa versa.
- It’s very difficult to predict the next support or next resistance


Trend: A trend line is a straight line that connects two or more price points and then extends into the future to act as line support or resistance. There are three cases
Uptrend: is a connection between two or more low prices in which the second price must be higher tan the first price (It acts as support line).
Downtrend: Is a connection between two or more high prices in which the second must be lower than the first price (It act as resistance line).


What are types of charts?
There are three types of charts in Sigma platform:
1) Bar Chart: It’s a style of chart used by some technical analysts where the top of the vertical line indicates the highest price a security traded at during the day, and the bottom represents the lowest price. The closing price is displayed on the right side of the bar, and the opening price is shown on the left side of the bar. A single bar like the one below represents one day of trading.


2) Line chart: It’s a style of charts created by connecting series of points together in a line.
It’s the most popular chart but has less use by the technical analytics.



This chart does not show what happened during the time unit selected by the viewer, only closing rates for such time intervals. The line chart is a simple tool for setting support and resistance levels.

3) Candlestick Chart: It’s the oldest types of charts developed in the 18th century by legendary Japanese rice trader Homma Munehisa, this style of charting is very popular due to the level of ease in reading and understanding the graphs.
Each candlestick includes the open, high, low, and close, of the timeframe, and also shows the direction (upward or downward), and the range of the timeframe.
Below are examples of candlesticks and a definition for each candlestick component:

Friday, 4 April 2008

SigmaForex Asset Market Model

Face-to-face trading interactions on the tradi...

The explosion in trading of financial assets (stocks and bonds) has reshaped the way analysts and traders look at currencies. Economic variables such as growth, inflation, and productivity are no longer the only drivers of currency movements. The proportion of foreign exchange transactions stemming from cross border-trading of financial assets has dwarfed the extent of currency transactions generated from trading in goods and services. The asset market approach views currencies as asset prices traded in an efficient financial market. Consequently, currencies are increasingly demonstrating a strong correlation with asset markets, particularly equities.

  • Understanding Technical Analysis

The two primary approaches of analyzing currency markets are fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamentals focus on financial and economic theories, as well as political developments to determine forces of supply and demand. One clear point of distinction between fundamentals and technicals is that fundamental analysis studies the causes of market movements, while technical analysis studies the effects of market movements.

Technical analysis examines past price and volume data to forecast future price movements. This type of analysis focuses on the formation of charts and formulae to capture major and minor trends, identify buying/selling opportunities, and assessing the extent of market turnarounds. Depending upon your time horizon, you could use technical analysis on an intraday basis (5-minute, 15 minute, hourly), weekly or monthly basis.


Sigma devotes serious effort to serve the emerging retail segment of the Forex community. Its commitment to providing an excellent customer service, innovative currency trading technology, and dealing practices, establishes Sigma as a notable force that traders look forward to for an advanced Forex charting, Forex news, and fund safety.

Customers funds deposited with Sigma, are held and maintained separately in separated trading accounts at our partner banks. Sigma also provides its customers a variety of account plans, and services to choose from when creating or adjusting a profile.

The professionals at Sigma are dedicated to providing the guidance you need to accomplish your investment objectives.

Thursday, 3 April 2008

Sigma Forex Chart Patterns

Chart Patterns

1) Symmetrical Triangles:

A chart pattern used in technical analysis that is easily recognized by the distinct shape created by two converging trend lines. It designed by drawing two trend lines that connect a series of sequentially lower peaks and a series of sequentially higher troughs. The signals to buy or sell when there breakout between the triangle & the price line




2) Head & shoulder:

The pattern contains three successive peaks with the middle peak (head) being the highest and the two outside peaks (shoulders) being low and roughly equal.
Trading Signals
Place a stop-loss just above the last peak below the neckline
After the breakout, price often rallies back to the neckline which then acts as a resistance level. Go short on a reversal signal and place a stop-loss one tick above the resistance level.




3) Wedges:
Falling Wedges:

Falling wedges is a bullish pattern that begin from the top then the prices contract.
This price action forms a cone that slopes down as the reaction highs and reaction lows converge.

Rising Wedges
A rising wedge is generally considered bearish and is usually found in downtrends. They can be found in up trends too, but would still generally be regarded as bearish.



4) Flags & Pennants:
Flags:
A flag is a small rectangle pattern that slopes against the previous trend.
The prices between the two parallel lines form a channel to form a square.
Bullish flags are characterized by lower tops and lower bottoms, with the pattern slanting against the trend.
Bearish flags are characterized by higher tops and higher bottoms with the pattern slanting against the trend.
Pennants:
A pennant is a small symmetrical triangle that begins wide and converges.
Bullish pennants are characterized by lower tops and lower bottoms, with the pattern slanting against the trend.
Bearish pennants are characterized by higher tops and higher bottoms with the pattern slanting against the trend




5) Cup with Handle:

The cup formed after an advance and looks like a half circle or rounding bottom.
As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right hand side and the handle is formed.
A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance.
The cup pattern should take weeks to form without any upper limit.
The handle may form over one or two weeks but may also take several months.

A "V" shaped bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The softer "U" shape ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the "U". The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case.
The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more. The smaller the retracement is, the more bullish the formation and significant the breakout. Sometimes it is prudent to wait for a break above the resistance line established by the highs of the cup.




6) Higher Lows and Lower Highs




7) Rectangles





RSI with Momentum

It measures the amount of change in commodity’s price during a period of time.
Using both RSI & Momentum for average 14 days will enable a solid strategy in determining signals.

rsimom

Signal to buy:
RSI rises above 50 but stays below 70, and momentum rises above zero.
Signal to sell:
RSI falls below 50 but stays above 30, and momentum falls below zero

Tuesday, 4 March 2008

Fibonacci Retracement | SigmaForex

Wall Street Sign.

The Basic Theories

  • Dow Theory

The oldest theory in technical analysis states that prices fully reflect all existing information. Knowledge available to participants (traders, analysts, portfolio managers, market strategists and investors) is already discounted in the price action. Movements caused by unpredictable events such as acts of god will be contained within the overall trend. Technical analysis aims at studying price action to draw conclusions on future moves.

Developed primarily around stock market averages, the Dow Theory holds that prices progressed into wave patterns, which consisted of three types of magnitude—primary, secondary and minor. The time involved ranged from less than three weeks to over a year. The theory also identified retracement patterns, which are common levels by which trends pare their moves. Such retracements are 33%, 50% and 66%.

  • Fibonacci Retracement

This is a popular retracement series based on mathematical ratios arising from natural and man-made phenomena. It is used to determine how far a price has rebounded or backtracked from its underlying trend. The most important retracement levels are: 38.2%, 50% and 61.8%.


Sigma Forex is leading European professional online trading Brokers registered in the Uk and most of the EU countries. It was founded by professional private investors including (banks, traders, brokers, and software developers), which enabled Sigma to identify the essential needs of the Forex participants from the start.

Since 2003, Sigma’s aim has been to provide the best, powerful and most suitable currency trading technology along with superiority in execution, competitive services, and dependable customer service. Over the past years, Sigma has quickly become one of the world’s leading online retail currency trading institutions, providing integrated global trading systems, analysis techniques and the most reliable and sophisticated online trading software. We offer internet trading through Meta Trader. This trading platform is very stable and reliable. It is highly regarded and very popular among traders.